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The landscape of global finance has shifted. As of January 23, 2026, the once-niche sector of prediction markets has officially entered its "Decacorn Era." With Kalshi recently commanding an $11 billion valuation and Polymarket following closely at $9 billion, event-based trading is no longer a curiosity for political junkies and crypto enthusiasts—it is a cornerstone [...]

As the sun sets over Atlanta, Georgia, 25-year-old Logan Sudeith isn't heading home from an office. Instead, he is likely propped up against his headboard, surrounded by glowing monitors and discarded DoorDash containers, preparing for another marathon shift in the world of "Information Finance." Sudeith is a leading figure in a burgeoning class of professionals [...]

As of January 22, 2026, the United States is witnessing a historic constitutional collision between federal financial oversight and century-old state police powers. At the center of this storm is KalshiEX LLC, the first federally regulated exchange for "event contracts," which is currently locked in a multi-front legal war with state gaming regulators in Nevada, [...]

The landscape of American forecasting shifted fundamentally this winter as the industry's two largest heavyweights, FanDuel and DraftKings, officially entered the prediction market space. Moving beyond point spreads and over-unders, these legacy sportsbooks have launched dedicated "event contract" platforms—FanDuel Predicts and DraftKings Predictions—to capture a share of the exploding interest in political and economic wagering. [...]

As the 2026 legislative session kicks off in Albany, the future of the prediction market industry in the United States is being decided not in a courtroom or on a trading floor, but in the halls of the New York State Assembly. The Oversight and Regulation of Activity for Contracts Linked to Events (ORACLE) Act, [...]

As the 2026 legislative session kicks off in Albany, a high-stakes battle is unfolding over the future of decentralized and regulated forecasting in the Empire State. New York lawmakers are currently scrambling to pass legislation that could either legitimize prediction markets as the next frontier of finance or crush them under the weight of "reckless [...]

As the second year of the second Trump administration begins on this January 20, 2026, the political world is already looking toward the horizon of 2028. While traditional pundits often wait for the midterm results to declare favorites, prediction market traders have already reached a consensus. Vice President JD Vance has solidified his position as [...]

As of mid-January 2026, the meteoric rise of prediction markets has hit a formidable regulatory wall. Kalshi, the federally regulated exchange that pioneered event contracts in the U.S., is currently locked in a high-stakes legal standoff with several powerful state regulators. The conflict has reached a boiling point in Massachusetts, where a state court is [...]

As of January 18, 2026, the landscape of American finance is undergoing a seismic shift that few saw coming four years ago. Polymarket, once the "offshore pariah" of the prediction market world, has successfully executed a multi-step regulatory maneuver to return to the United States. Following a period of exile that began with a CFTC [...]

The era of prediction markets has officially shifted from a niche experimental phase into a primary pillar of global finance. As of January 17, 2026, the industry is no longer just a "truth machine" for political cycles; it has become a high-velocity financial engine. Recent data shows the total prediction market industry hit an all-time [...]

As the 2026 legislative session kicks off in Albany, New York has become the epicenter of a national struggle over the legality of "information finance." At the heart of the storm are two competing visions for the state’s regulatory future: a "scorched-earth" prohibition known as the ORACLE Act (Assembly Bill A9251) and a rival regulatory [...]

As we cross the midpoint of January 2026, the landscape of American finance and political discourse has been fundamentally rewritten. What was once a niche corner of the internet for statistics nerds and high-stakes contrarians has become the primary lens through which the public views reality. Today, "market-implied probability" is no longer just a metric; [...]

As the NFL playoffs enter their most high-stakes phase, a clear consensus is emerging not just from the sidelines, but from the high-frequency trading floors of prediction markets. The Seattle Seahawks have officially solidified their position as the favorites to win Super Bowl LX, currently trading at a 25% probability on Kalshi. With the championship [...]

As of January 16, 2026, the United States prediction market ecosystem has shifted from a speculative niche into a cornerstone of the modern financial landscape. Once defined by the volatility of election cycles, the sector is now witnessing an institutional-grade transformation. According to a landmark analysis by Citizens Financial Group (NYSE: CFG) and a detailed [...]

As of January 16, 2026, the landscape of global prediction markets has undergone a seismic shift. For years, the industry was a two-horse race between the offshore, crypto-native Polymarket and the U.S.-regulated, institutional-grade Kalshi. Today, the results are in: the "financialization of sports" has crowned a new king. Driven by the explosive success of its [...]

In the wake of the most heavily traded political event in history, a landmark study from Vanderbilt University has sent shockwaves through the burgeoning prediction market industry. The report, titled "Prediction Markets? The Accuracy and Efficiency of $2.4 Billion in the 2024 Presidential Election," reveals a startling inverse relationship between raw capital and predictive precision. [...]

As the NFL enters the Divisional Round of the playoffs, a quiet revolution is taking place in how fans engage with the gridiron. While traditional sportsbooks are flooded with standard wagers, a new breed of market participant is flocking to Kalshi, the federally regulated event contract exchange. Since its aggressive expansion into sports in early [...]

As the prediction market industry enters a pivotal 2026, a high-stakes legal battle is unfolding that will determine whether these platforms are treated as sophisticated financial exchanges or local gambling dens. At the heart of the conflict is a strategy known as "Federal Preemption," where platforms argue that federal oversight by the Commodity Futures Trading [...]

As the 2026 legislative session kicks off in Albany, the future of the prediction market industry hangs in a delicate balance. New York lawmakers are currently locked in a philosophical and legal tug-of-war over whether these platforms—which allow users to trade on the outcome of everything from elections to interest rate hikes—are sophisticated financial tools [...]

As the dust settles on the hyper-active forecasting cycles of the last two years, a landmark study from Vanderbilt University has sent shockwaves through the prediction market industry. For years, the prevailing wisdom was that "liquidity is king"—that the more money and participants a market has, the more accurate its "crowdsourced wisdom" becomes. However, according [...]

In a seismic shift for the prediction market landscape, Kalshi has officially overtaken Polymarket as the dominant force in the industry. As of early January 2026, Kalshi handled approximately 66.4% of total global trades, a staggering reversal from the crypto-native era of 2024. The surge has been fueled by a combination of federal regulatory approval, [...]

Shares of global online betting powerhouse Flutter Entertainment (NASDAQ:FLUT) fell 3.9% in the morning session after Wells Fargo downgraded the company's stock from Overweight to Equal-Weight and cut its price target. 

As the smoke clears from one of the most unpredictable NFL Wild Card weekends in modern history, the biggest winner isn’t just a team on the field, but a unique prediction model in the cloud. While traditional sportsbooks and Vegas sharps scrambled to adjust lines for veteran-heavy favorites, Manifold Markets, a play-money social prediction platform, [...]

As the NFL post-season enters its most critical stretch, the traditional landscape of sports wagering is facing a paradigm shift. On January 14, 2026, the prediction market industry reached a staggering milestone, processing over $701.7 million in a single day of trading. This record-breaking activity, driven primarily by the high-stakes matchups of the NFL Wild [...]